Friday, November 9, 2012

Will We Have Economic Recovery in 2013 - Reason

Recovery Trouble 2013Where is the economy heading in 2013? This question was a much discussed topic during the presidential race, but it was always framed in electoral politics. Now that we finally have the election behind us we can consider the question on its own terms. There are long-term challenges for the economy, but of more pertinent concern is what does the coming year have in store. Here are the problems that I see going into 2013 in no particular order:

(1) Housing is Not in Recovery ? Foreclosures, short-sales, and unemployment problems look to continue limiting the number of homebuyers and housing will continue to struggle (though some local levels will see recovery, nationally this remains a problem).

(2) Unemployment Still Will be High ? Millions of workers remain unemployed for more than 6+ months and will not re-enter the labor force easily or quickly, labor force participation won?t increase overnight, productivity has increased since the recession even though total employment has fallen, and structural changes such as shifts in the sectors of large scale employment will be a problem for a while.

(3) Regulatory and Tax Uncertainty for Business Investment ?There are a host of Dodd-Frank regulations waiting to be implemented, and another four years of Obama means increased environment and labor regulations slowing down business.

(4) Private Debt Deleveraging ? Probably the biggest challenge is that mortgage debt has only slowly declined relative to housing prices, and while housing prices are at 2003 levels, mortgage debt is 67 percent higher today than in 2003. This means there is a lot more deleveraging to go through. As I wrote for RealClearMarkets this morning:

If you are a Keynesian, then consumers shedding their existing debt means a?reduction in aggregate spending, stalling the key engine of growth?. The story isn't much better if you prefer a more supply-side economic approach to jumpstarting growth, and want to reduce taxes and regulations on businesses so they can thrive. If businesses, particularly small businesses whose expenses are part of their household budgets, are more interested in deleveraging than expanding, then tax cuts and regulatory burdens will have only a small effect on economic growth in the short run. This does not mean these policies should be ignored, but rather that their true value will be to set the stage for a stronger long-term recovery as lower taxes and regulatory costs will allow these businesses to clear their balance sheets faster. The deleveraging cycle still needs to process.

(5) Fiscal Cliff? ? It is not clear yet how Congress will address the fiscal cliff, but if we go over entirely it will have a negative impact on the economy. Whether that is a problem depends on how bad the above four problems make the economy anyway and whether you believe short-term pain from reduced government spending is worth the long-term need to cut the deficit and national debt.

And none of this gets into the long-term challenges for the economy like the national debt, out of control entitlement spending, QEnfinity as monetary policy, declining education outcomes, and rising health care costs.

Still despite all of this, I?m a cautionary optimist because we are in a better place than 2008, and most of this is more likely to mean a stagnating economy (growing around or under 2 percent) rather than another recession. But you do the math and decide whether this is what recovery looks like or not.

Source: http://reason.com/blog/2012/11/08/will-we-have-economic-recovery-in-2013

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City of Easton's Bravest and Finest Wrestling Tournament | Nazareth ...

New God of War: Ascension Trailer | Video Game Blog, Video ...

Published: 09 November 2012 4:29 AM UTC

Posted in: News, Video Games

Tags: Ares, blood, Brutal, combat, fighting, God of War: Ascension, Gods, killing, kratos, new, News, Playstation 3, prequel, PS3, SCE Santa Monica Studio, Sony, trailer, video game, War

Sony has released a new trailer for the upcoming hack and slash prequel God of War: Ascension. It stars the first game?s antagonist and son of Zeus himself, Ares. Ares was the original ?god of war?, before Kratos appeared and brutally murdered him and inevitably took his throne.

The trailer also shows off some of the combat in the game?s multiplayer mode, presenting Ares? minions. Each have a unique ability bestowed upon them by Ares. You may not be surprised to see some violence unfold, blood splatter and some things burning.

Here?s the link to the exclusive trailer on GameTrailers.

God of War: Ascension will be smashing its way exclusively onto PS3 on the following dates:

  • NA: March 12, 2013
  • EU: March 13, 2013
  • AU: March 14, 2013
  • UK: March 15, 2013

Will you be buying Sony?s latest effort and delving into Kratos? origins?


Article from Gamersyndrome.com

Related posts:

  1. This is Sparta! New God Of War: Ascension ?300? DLC announced
  2. God of War: Ascension beta, multiplayer details
  3. New God Of War 3 Trailer; Kratos Is Mad!
  4. God Of War 3 Official Launch Trailer
  5. God of War III Release Date Unveiled by GameStop

About the Author

avatar My name is Reece, and I'm an aspiring writer from England. I've been into gaming since I was about 4 years old, playing the Game Boy, PSOne and Sega Mega Drive (Genesis to you Americans!). Having these systems around during my youth lead to the greatest and most-anticipated Christmas ever - the year I got my N64! Open to any system and genre, I remain completely unbiased as a proud owner of a Wii, Xbox 360, PS3 and 3DS. Come on Vita, give me more reasons to buy you too!My favourite games are Resident Evil 2, Zelda: The Wind Waker, Streets of Rage 2, Left 4 Dead, Final Fantasy VII, Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater and Yoshi's Island. I also write news for Explosion.com. You can catch me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/ReeceH92

Source: http://gamersyndrome.com/2012/video-games/new-god-of-war-ascension-trailer/

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Source: http://www.allthosethingsilove.com/black-friday-2012-kmart-black-friday-ad-preview-open-6am-nov-23rd-2012/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=black-friday-2012-kmart-black-friday-ad-preview-open-6am-nov-23rd-2012

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Thursday, November 8, 2012

Puerto Rico vote endorses statehood with asterisk

SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico (AP) ? Puerto Ricans have supported U.S. statehood in a vote that jubilant members of the pro-statehood party say is the strongest sign yet that the Caribbean island territory is on the road to losing its second-class status.

But Tuesday's vote comes with an asterisk and an imposing political reality: The island remains bitterly divided over its relationship to the United States and many question the validity of this week's referendum.

Nearly a half million voters chose to leave a portion of the ballot blank. And voters also ousted the pro-statehood governor, eliminating one of the main advocates for a cause that would need the approval of the U.S. Congress.

"Statehood won a victory without precedent but it's an artificial victory," said Angel Israel Rivera Ortiz, a political science professor at the University of Puerto Rico. "It reflects a divided and confused electorate that is not clear on where it's going."

President Barack Obama had said he would support the will of the Puerto Rican people on the question of the island's relationship to the U.S., referred to simply on the island as its "status," and this week's referendum was intended to be the barometer.

But the results aren't so clear cut. It was a two-part ballot that first asked all voters if they favor the current status as a U.S. territory. Regardless of the answer, all voters then had the opportunity to choose in the second question from three options: statehood, independence or "sovereign free association," which would grant more autonomy to the island of nearly 4 million people.

More than 900,000 voters, or 54 percent, responded "no" to the first question, saying they were not content with the current status.

On the second question, only about 1.3 million voters made a choice. Of those, nearly 800,000, or 61 percent of those expressing an opinion, chose statehood ? the first majority after three previous referendums on the issue over the past 45 years. Some 437,000 backed sovereign free association and 72,560 chose independence. Nearly 500,000, however, left that question blank.

"We made history with this plebiscite," said Resident Commissioner Pedro Pierluisi, the island's representative in Congress and a member of both the pro-statehood New Progressive Party and the Democratic Party.

The certified results will be sent to the White House and the congressional leadership, and it would be up to them to begin the process of possibly admitting Puerto Rico into the union.

"The ball is now in Congress' court and Congress will have to react to this result," Pierluisi said. "This is a clear result that says 'no' to the current status."

Gov. Luis Fortuno, a member of the pro-statehood party who is also a Republican, welcomed the results and said he was hopeful that Congress would take up the cause.

But Fortuno won't be around to lead the fight: Voters turned him out of office after one term, and gave the governship to Alejandro Garcia Padilla of the Popular Democratic Party, which wants Puerto Rico to remain a semi-autonomous U.S. commonwealth.

Garcia has pledged to hold a constitutional assembly in 2014 to address the island's status, followed by another referendum with support from Congress.

Margarita Nolasco, the vice president of the Puerto Rican Senate from the pro-statehood party, said she feared the commonwealth forces would seek to undermine the plebiscite.

"At the beginning of the last century, statehood appeared to be an impossible dream," Nolasco said. "After a century of battles and electoral defeats, statehood just became the political force of majority that Puerto Ricans prefer."

Besides pointing to the defeat of the governor, albeit by a margin of less than 1 percent, skeptics point to other signs that statehood is not ascendant in Puerto Rico.

Luis Delgado Rodriguez, who leads a group that supports sovereign free association, noted all the voters who left the second question blank, raising questions about their preference. He said those voters, coupled with those who support independence and sovereign free association, add up to more than those who favored statehood.

"This represents an overwhelming majority against statehood," he said.

The results are also murky because everyone could vote in the second round no matter how they marked the first question ? and the choice of "sovereign free association" is not the same as the current status. So people could have voted for both no change in the first round and any of the choices in the second. Nearly 65,000 left the first question blank.

"With that kind of message, Congress is not going to do anything, and neither is President Obama," Rivera said.

Puerto Rico has been a territory for 114 years and its people have been U.S. citizens since 1917. Residents of the island cannot vote in the U.S. presidential election, have no representation in the Senate and only limited representation in the House of Representatives.

It's a situation that frustrates many, as does the long-simmering political uncertainty. Independence was once the dominant political movement on the island but no longer: Only 6 percent of voters opted to sever ties from the U.S., a prospect that scared voters like 31-year-old Jose Ramos.

"I prefer that the United States helps us, because to stand on our own two feet, no," said the father of three. "I don't want this to become a republic. That scares me."

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/puerto-rico-vote-endorses-statehood-asterisk-205404726.html

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NaNoWriMo: The Cure for Slacking on Content Development ...

Depending on who you?re friending and following in the social sphere, you may or may not be aware that November is National Novel Writing Month. NaNoWriMo, as it?s known, is an annual drive to get people writing and thinking creatively as they work to write novels. In order to be a winner, you must have at least 50,000 words complete and submitted to the official NaNoWriMo site word-counter by 11:59 pm on November 30th.

While it takes way more than 50,000 words to actually finish a novel (in many cases, at least twice that), the challenge affords writers with the opportunity to experiment with different techniques and styles, as well as to explore their creativity. The competitive spirit drives people (and the fact that they can compare daily word counts with their friends and ?writing buddies? doesn?t hurt) to shoot for 1,667 words every day for the entire month.

That seems like a lot, and it is, but that?s the pace you have to keep if you want to hit that 50k mark in 30 days.

Cool story. What?s it got to do with content development and my business?

We?re all looking for ways to improve our content development. We want to have blogs and other resources that bring in traffic, educate our customers and prospects, and keep people coming back for more. As more businesses allocate larger percentages of their budgets for content marketing, it becomes even more important that we?re successful in those endeavors. Success means conversions.

But we all ho-hum over our blogs, start with good intentions and then let them fall apart. What we need is to be seriously motivated.

And that?s where NaNoWriMo comes in.

No, you can?t count blog posts and white papers toward your 50,000 words. And yes, it will take a lot of your time. Especially at first. If you want Thanksgiving off, for example, so that you can blissfully fall into a deep, tryptophan-induced sleep while watching football, you?ve got to work extra hard earlier in the month to make up those words. Likewise if you want Black Friday off to spend all day shopping.

So it takes some planning.

You can take a day off if you really want to or need to, but then you?re just going to have to work twice as hard later. You might think that you have nothing to say, only to realize when you get started that the ideas start flowing as you go.

So it takes some persistence and perseverance.

But here?s the thing about using NaNoWriMo as a means to help you improve your content development and overall content strategy: As a creative individual (and a writer especially), it changes you.

You think that you can?t possibly write 1,667 words in one day, let alone 50,000 words in a month. But then you get started, and you keep writing even when you don?t necessarily feel like it or have any ?good? ideas. You see where the story takes you. You let yourself be as creative as you want to be and you take chances because what have you really got to lose?

As you do that, you begin to build momentum. After the second week, you know that you?re in it to win it, and you find that you want to keep that momentum going. At the beginning, you maybe struggled to write a few hundred words a day, but as time goes on, you?re not only meeting your daily 1,667, but you?re exceeding it.

What you thought you knew about yourself as a writer changes.

You may think that creative writing has nothing to do with your business, but then you realize that it actually helps quite a bit with content development and generating fresh ideas. In fact, many businesses are beginning to seek out creative writers to help with such efforts.

You may think that writing 1,667 words a day has nothing to do with your business, but then, when you sit down to write that 500 word blog post, it suddenly doesn?t seem so daunting anymore. You?ve written far more than that before ? and on a daily basis!

And speaking of a daily basis: NaNoWriMo helps you get into the habit of becoming a daily writer. If your business blog was only updated sporadically before, this is a great way to train yourself to write more frequently. We?re all aware by now that search engines value fresh, original content. The more often you?re producing it, the better your traffic will be. With traffic comes, we hope, leads and conversions.

NaNoWriMo will motivate you as a writer. It may even make you remember why you loved writing to begin with. After fulfilling the requirements for my creative writing minor in college, I went for a few years without writing much of anything besides lesson plans. In 2009, a friend convinced me to participate in NaNoWriMo. It was definitely a struggle at first, but I stuck with it. It gave me a routine and goals, and I could tell I was improving every day. By Thanksgiving, I had my 50,000 words finished. By the beginning of July I?d written a complete novel and was blogging all the time because I had so many ideas for that outlet now, as well. I hit my 50k on a second novel in 2010 before I realized what I could be doing with all the lessons I?d learned and skills I?d gained from NaNoWriMo.

Now I?m writing professionally and it?s great. Definitely one of the best decisions I?ve made.

The point here is that, sometimes, in order to improve, you have to think outside the box. Writing a novel might not seem to make much sense for your business at first (unless you?re going to write a business book, of course ? eBooks are still part of content development!), but it helps you to expand your creative horizons and grow as a content creator.

You?re down about six days now, but people have come back from bigger deficits. How about giving it a try? Even if you don?t reach 50k, you?re bound to take away some valuable content development lessons.

Have you ever participated in NaNoWriMo? How has it helped you as a writer, both personally and professionally? Did you see a change in your content development? If you haven?t participated, what?s holding you back? We?d love to hear your thoughts in the comments!

photo credit: national novel writing month

Source: http://www.business2community.com/content-marketing/nanowrimo-the-cure-for-slacking-on-content-development-0326264

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The Voice Recap: Live Playoffs, Part 1!

Source: http://www.thehollywoodgossip.com/2012/11/the-voice-recap-live-playoffs-part-1/

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How Did Muck-Encumbered Reps Fare? (talking-points-memo)

Share With Friends: Share on FacebookTweet ThisPost to Google-BuzzSend on GmailPost to Linked-InSubscribe to This Feed | Rss To Twitter | Politics - Top Stories News, News Feeds and News via Feedzilla.

Source: http://news.feedzilla.com/en_us/stories/politics/top-stories/261326990?client_source=feed&format=rss

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Each Ohio Voter Has a 1 in a Million Chance of Deciding the Election

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Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Determine Whether or Not You Need a Hearing Aid

Almost everyone will have some type of deafness, whether it is permanent or temporary, at some point in his or her life. If you are now experiencing it, visit your local audiologist so that you can have it checked. Your problem may be something simple, or it can be more complex, requiring you to be fitted for a hearing aid. These problems can range anywhere from the natural aging process or some type of blockage of part of the ear canal.

Fixing the problem can be fairly simple. If it is a blockage, it can be easily cleaned out at your doctor?s office through the use of instruments or flushing, or it can be done at home through home remedies that your doctor can recommend. Using objects, such as cotton swabs, is never a good way to clean them out. Other things that can cause you to suffer from deafness are infection, injuries, birth defects, or another type of issue that can be found in the canal itself.

The outer ear is not the only problem when it comes to not being able to hear. Deafness can also be the result of a problem in the middle ear. One of these can be an infection, which is a result of fluid build up or swelling inside resulting in the temporary inability to hear. Usually your physician will prescribe some medications to heal. If you have infections often, he may suggest that you get tubes put in so that can you can experience some relief from pressure.

Not only is deafness caused by problems in the outer and middle ear, but also in the inner ear. Some things that damage the inner ear are otosclerosis, which is an extra bone in the ear, tumors, and birth defects. All these things can be corrected through surgery and a hearing aid should not be necessary.

Other things that can cause the loss but don?t result in the need for a hearing aid are fistula, which occurs when some type of trauma to the head has occurred, resulting in the leaking of fluid, due to a fall, as well as exposure to loud noises. This is usually caused by noisy things around you, such as a factory job, constant use of power tools, gunfire without the proper ear protection, and frequent use of earphones. Surgery can also help correct these problems as well.

If you are having trouble with your ears and you want to find what caused it, make an appointment with your audiologist. He can examine you, test your ears, prescribe medications to help you fight infection, and get you fitted for a hearing aid if you need it. There is no reason to miss out on those sounds of life if you don?t have to.

Come to our clinic to find out if you need a northwest illinois hearing aid. Please visit http://www.miracle-ear-nwillinois.com today to learn more.

Source: http://toddsblogs.com/healthandfitness/2012/11/06/determine-whether-or-not-you-need-a-hearing-aid/

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City birds adapt to their new predators

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Faced with the same threat, city and country birds do not react in the same way despite being from the same species. According to a new study, urban birds have changed their anti-predator behaviour in new environments.

When a bird is faced with a predator, its only objective is to escape. However, city birds do not react in the same way as their countryside counterparts, despite being from the same species. Urbanisation plays an influential role in their survival strategies.

To study this phenomenon, Juan Diego Ib??ez-?lamo, researcher at the University of Granada (UGR) and Anders Pape M?ller from Paris-Sud University (France) analysed the escape techniques of 1,132 birds belonging to 15 species in different rural and urban areas.

Published in the Animal Behaviour journal, the results show that city birds have changed their behaviour to adapt to new threats like cats (their main predator in the city) instead of their more traditional enemies in the countryside, such as the sparrow hawk.

"When they are captured, city birds are less aggressive, they produce alarm calls more frequently, they remain more paralysed when attacked by their predator and they loose more feathers than their countryside counterparts," as explained to SINC by Juan Diego Ib??ez-?lamo.

The surprising thing is that urbanisation is directly linked with these differences, which become more acute the earlier the former has taken place. This suggests that escape strategies evolve alongside the expansion of cities; a concept that is on the increase worldwide.

Adapt or die in the territory of man

Like the habitat of many animals and plants, the habitat of birds changes and fragments. Discovering how they adapt to transformations in their habitat is "crucial" for understanding how to lessen their effects. "Predation change caused by city growth is serious," outlines Ib??ez-?lamo.

As the scientist indicates, tactics against their hunters are "crucial" so that birds can adapt to their new environment: "Birds should modify their behaviour to be able to survive in cities because if not, they will become extinct at the mercy of urban growth."

###

M?ller, A. P.; Ib??ez-?lamo, J. D. "Escape behaviour of birds provides evidence of predation being involved in urbanization" Animal Behaviour 84(2): 341-348 DOI: 10.1016/j.anbehav.2012.04.030, 2012.

FECYT - Spanish Foundation for Science and Technology: http://www.fecyt.es/fecyt/home.do

Thanks to FECYT - Spanish Foundation for Science and Technology for this article.

This press release was posted to serve as a topic for discussion. Please comment below. We try our best to only post press releases that are associated with peer reviewed scientific literature. Critical discussions of the research are appreciated. If you need help finding a link to the original article, please contact us on twitter or via e-mail.

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Source: http://www.labspaces.net/125114/City_birds_adapt_to_their_new_predators

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Patient Access to Their Data | HealthWorks Collective

The Open Notes initiative has created a flurry of interest in the on-line medical community but not even a blip that I can tell in my personal world. Patients appear oblivious. The story was not covered by our local newspaper. No physicians are nervously or otherwise discussing it in our doctor's lounge.

Despite Meaningful Use criteria breathing down our organizations's neck, which includes patient portals with the capability to obtain their records electronically, no one is talking about this important study: three healthcare systems, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Boston, Geisinger Health System in ?Pennsylvania, and Harborview Medical Center in Seattle participated. This included 105 doctors and more than 13,000 patients. When the study was finished 99% of patients surveyed wanted continued access to their notes and NO DOCTORS opted out.?

The last phrase is the most important one to me as a physician. In my world doctors are often very nervous at the thought of patients obtaining access to their own records even though?technically the?patient owns the record. Yet the more I see of charting, especially electronic charting, the more important it is that patients have the ability to access and help us improve their records.?

As an example, I recently had a new patient who related being involved in a motor vehicle accident many years ago. He'd had surgery shortly after but he wasn't sure whether or not he'd had his spleen removed, though he knew it had ruptured. This is important because individuals who have no spleen are at increased risk of certain kinds of infections and need routine and regular followup vaccinations to protect them. The first thing I did was access records from an?abdominal?hernia surgery he'd had just a few years ago, to repair a hernia he had as a result of the first surgery. The operating doctor dictated in his note that the patient had had a splenectomy. I wasn't convinced so I dug a little further and fortunately the hospital still had records of the first surgery (by law the hospital does not have to keep records from over twenty years ago). The patient did not have his spleen removed and thus needs neither recurrent vaccinations or ?expensive imaging to figure out the answer. But what if I'd just taken the mistaken word of the second surgeon? How much better if the patient had been given easy?access to his records years ago when he'd first wondered??

Soon, patients will have access to their own charts and will be capable of giving much better histories or better yet, will have their medical stories in their own Personal Health Records. This can save a lot in time and unnecessary tests, not to mention improved accuracy in patient records. Because after all, who has more at stake in the accuracy of the record than the patient? Or as e-Patient Dave deBronkart says:?

?

?

Source: http://healthworkscollective.com/docnieder/61821/patient-access-their-data

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